A fresh IDEA poll suggests Hungary could be heading for a four-party parliament, not a two-party contest, as the opposition Tisza Party increases its advantage over the ruling Fidesz–KDNP alliance at the start of the official campaign period.
According to IDEA Intézet’s latest survey, Tisza leads Fidesz–KDNP by 12 percentage points among “certain voters who can name a party” (49% vs 37%). In the full adult population, the lead is 9 points (38% vs 29%).
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At this time in 2022, The IDEA poll showed the following :
Fidesz 50 – Orbán
Independent 45 – Márki-Zay
Final results?
Fidesz 52.2 – Orbán
Independent 36.9 – Márki-Zay
So, the IDEA poll, though not nearly so bad as some others I have seen here, in recent weeks, was over 8 points off.
Therefore, no reader ought take their current findings seriously.
CORRECTION ….
So, the IDEA poll, though not nearly so bad as some others I have seen here, in recent weeks, was over 10 points off!