The European Commission will present its proposal to permanently ban Russian crude oil imports on 15 April 2026 — three days after Hungary’s parliamentary election. According to EU sources, the timing is no coincidence.

Oil to be phased out by the end of 2027

Under the Brussels proposal, Russian crude imports into the EU would be completely phased out by the end of 2027. The Commission had already committed to the oil ban in December 2025, when the European Parliament approved the gradual phase-out of Russian gas. What is new now is the concrete date and the planned implementation.

The measure would remain in force even if sanctions linked to the war in Ukraine were eased or lifted following a potential peace agreement.

The future of the Druzhba pipeline

The decision particularly affects Hungary and Slovakia, which still rely heavily on Russian crude, mainly via the Druzhba pipeline. Supplies have been disrupted since 27 January 2026, after Kyiv reported that a Russian drone strike had damaged infrastructure in western Ukraine.

On this issue, Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that repairing the pipeline would come at “too high a price” in the lives of the workers involved. Hungary and Slovakia, however, blame Ukraine for the prolonged disruption.

EU 1%, Hungary 92%

By the final quarter of 2025, the European Union had reduced its share of Russian oil imports to just 1%. Hungary moved in the opposite direction. Before the full-scale invasion, its dependence stood at 61%; by 2025 this had risen to 92%, effectively turning a temporary EU derogation into a long-term business model.

Hungary’s state-linked refiner MOL admitted in November that it could meet up to 80% of its supply needs via Croatia’s Adriatic pipeline.

Bulgaria demonstrates that the exemption was not indispensable. Sofia voluntarily ended Russian crude imports on 1 March 2024, its refinery switched to non-Russian oil, and prices did not surge.

Hungary would not be able to block the decision

The oil ban would follow the same legal mechanism as the Russian gas ban. Under EU law, it can be adopted by qualified majority voting and does not require unanimity. This means that one or two Member States — such as Hungary and Slovakia — cannot veto the decision.

When the gas ban was adopted on 26 January, 24 Member States voted in favour, with only two opposing. The new oil embargo would be introduced under the REPowerEU framework using the same procedure. Although Budapest and Bratislava have indicated they would challenge the measure in court, the regulation would remain in force during legal proceedings.

Why this timing?

The 15 April date is politically significant as it falls immediately after Hungary’s election. This ensures the oil ban does not influence the campaign or become a central issue, while leaving any incoming government room to adjust to the new framework, Reuters reported.

Source: Euromaidenpress.com

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