Political Capital has revealed startling findings about the upcoming parliamentary elections in April, suggesting that the outcome may trigger a possible civil war-like situation. According to their survey, half of Hungarians are convinced that Viktor Orbán and his party will rig the election. Even a quarter of Fidesz supporters believe the rules will be altered before the vote—an understated form of election manipulation within the broad spectrum of possible fraud.

Record turnout expected next April

So far, the highest voter turnout in Hungarian history under democratic conditions was at the 1945 National Assembly elections. Historians debate whether that election was truly democratic, given the huge advantages enjoyed by the Hungarian Communist Party due to Soviet troops and administrative interventions, along with the exclusion of ethnic Germans. Nevertheless, 92-93% of eligible voters cast their ballots, delivering a proportional 54% absolute majority to the strongest democratic force, the Smallholders’ Party.

Palacesource: Nemzeti Hauszmann Program
Buda Palace in ruins (1945). However, after the war, new energies were liberated since people believed in building a new, democratic Hungary. Unfortunately, the victorious Soviets had other ideas. Source: Nemzeti Hauszmann Program

If Political Capital’s latest poll is to be believed, a similarly overwhelming turnout—and mandate—could materialise next April. A striking 85% of respondents said they will definitely vote, while another 12% say they probably will. No previous poll predicted such high participation. The 2022 election saw a near-record turnout of 70.2%, which resulted in a two-thirds majority for Orbán’s party.

Interestingly, this time the Tisza camp seems more mobilised, with 95% planning to vote, compared to 86% of Fidesz supporters, 24.hu wrote.

Péter Magyar and his supporters
Péter Magyar shows up in the small settlements because he believes only there can he turn the tide and win the elections. Photo: Facebook/Péter Magyar

Could civil war loom?

The survey also shows voters perceive politics as becoming more violent. Half of those surveyed expect fraud in April, yet 80% believe voting is even more crucial now than in 2022.

Half of the respondents anticipate election rigging by the ruling parties. Meanwhile, 63% think Fidesz will amend election laws before the vote. Notably, one in four government supporters shares this suspicion. That may trigger a civil war-like situation after the elections.

Viktor Orbán election 2026
PM Orbán also tours the country but only talks to his pre-registered supporters behind closed doors. One thing is certain: he will not participate in a debate with Péter Magyar because he said Magyar was only a puppet of Brussels. Photo: Facebook/Orbán Viktor

Among undecided voters—whose numbers, according to Gábor Török, are minimal when considering how many will actually turn out—rejection of government parties is much stronger than opposition to the Tisza camp (41% versus 16%).

Those who follow Hungarian politics won’t be surprised that committed voters tend to dismiss the opposing camp as brainwashed.

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Click and read more polls concerning the 2026 general elections in Hungary.