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Climate change – This can be expected in Hungary
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Theoretical physicists have calculated that there is a maximum 10% probability that human civilisation will not collapse in the next few decades. Concerning this estimation, Hungarian researchers were asked about the prospects of their home country. Let us see what climate changes can be expected in Hungary and around the world.
According to the experts, humans have primary responsibility for global warming that will presumably lead to climate crisis within a few decades.
As István Bart, Head of the Institute of Climate Strategy says, in the last 20 years, the worst-case scenarios outlined by researchers have been realised. While he previously believed that only his children would feel the catastrophic effects of climate change, since 2018 he thinks it will already happen in his life. The Hungarian expert also added that the 1.5-degree warming target set in the Paris Climate Agreement cannot be met with the current commitments.
According to András Lukács, Chairman of the Air Working Group,
“we are rushing into disaster…. It is not possible to predict exactly when the disaster will come; nature tolerates for a while, and then suddenly there is a transition to a new situation – which one will experience as a climate catastrophe.”
As the Hungarian news portal MagyarHang reports, it is important to mention that increasing global average temperatures do not mean the same thing on every part of the planet. Some areas of the Earth may be affected better, while others may be less warm so that the effects may be different.
Effects in the Carpathian Basin, including Hungary:
- The average temperature could rise by 1.5-2°C by 2050 and 3.5-4°C by 2100.
- Due to anticyclonic effects, the number of late-spring frosts may increase slightly.
- The region may become a water-poor country in the future, and groundwater levels are falling drastically.
- The annual number of frosty days has decreased by 16 days since the beginning of the last century, while the number of heat days has increased by 11. This trend is expected to continue in the future, with more heat days, hot days and heatwaves. This is a significant problem as the number of deaths due to heatwaves in Budapest has risen by 30% in recent years.
- These effects are not good for any of our main cereals. Wheat yields could fall by 8% by the middle of the century and 21% by the end of the century.
Read also: Bad climate news! – Budapest has the second largest temperature increase in Europe
The survival of mankind is dependent on it’s ability to adapt to changes that are beyond it’s control. The forces of the universe is bigger than anything we can control. We can only try to make it more comfortable to live in it.
Jack Russel may be right, but we need to remember that in universal law time has no unit of measure, it is only RELATIVE.
This study is a logical method of evaluating CHANGE. The Carpathian Basin has logical ecosystem boundary based on the source of WATER in the watershed. It is a concrete piece of the puzzle of the surface of the earth, that when put together can make scientific sense – which, by the way, is another reason that the Treaty of Trianon doesn’t make sense at all and should be declared invalid on the basis that the ENVIRONMENT was not considered in the decision. Hungary was way ahead of it’s time when it designed it’s boundaries to nature into the Carpathian Basin Ecosystem .
The study is very feasible in today’s world with the use of English as the communicator with the help of Google and all those wonderful translation devices.
May the FORCE BE WITH US!